Momiji × Tomy  ·  March 2026

Four Ranges:
Serving the Kidult Consumer in 2027.

A follow-up note from the Momiji Team

I just wanted to share some thoughts following on from our meetings recently. The launch has gone well and we are genuinely excited about where this is heading. What follows is not a negotiating position, it is our honest read of what the kidult consumer market requires, and how we think we can best serve it together in 2027. If we stay consumer-first, we won't go far wrong.

1, What the kidult consumer expects

Consumers dictate the cadence.

The kidult and designer toy market has been shaped by brands, Pop Mart most visibly, that operate on a high-frequency drop culture. Consumers in this space are conditioned to expect regular newness. That does not mean Momiji needs to match Pop Mart's near-weekly cadence; our brand is crafted and narrative-led, and that is a deliberate point of difference. But it does mean that the market sets a floor on cadence.

Industry data for 2025 shows that growth in this category is driven specifically by collectibles and pop-culture-linked products, with adults and teens now a major share of volume. The consistent finding across trade commentary is that brands in this space need to maintain a perception of regular newness, not as a nice-to-have, but as a baseline expectation.

In the kidult market, consumer excitement is a perishable resource. Four ranges allows us to stay present in a consumer's world and prevents us losing them to competitors.
2, What a dark window costs

Three ranges creates a gap. Four closes it.

Behind the scenes we are building a marketing stack using Klaviyo, Meta, TikTok, ManyChat, Gorgias, platforms designed to amplify launch moments. Each new range creates a coordinated burst across channels that drives traffic, conversion, and community engagement together. This architecture works because it has something to point at.

A gap of four to five months without a new range is not a neutral period. It is a window in which we are spending to maintain consumer attention that has nothing to convert against and a period in which the brand signal weakens through absence.

3, The data

Maintaining Continuity

We are both agreed that decisions should be based on real data. The first meaningful sell-through numbers will not be available until end of July 2026 at the earliest. That is the right moment to review cadence for 2028 with confidence.

The question is what we do between now and then. We think the answer is to hold the plan that is already in place. Four ranges is what has been agreed. Changing it before any evidence exists is the riskier move, not the safer one. If the data in July points to a different approach for 2028, we will have every reason to make that call together at that point.

We look forward to reviewing the data at the appropriate time (end of July?) and this will begin to inform the 2028 decisions. This feels like a good approach at this stage if you agree.
4, A joint solution to the tooling question

The cost curve bends downward over time.

We understand that tooling cost is a genuine consideration, particularly while volumes are still building. We wanted to explore this with you.

Our proposal is four ranges in 2027. The tooling economics improve with each range we produce, and the global door count set out below shows the market opportunity that justifies the investment.

5, The market opportunity

The wholesale opportunity, doors, markets and what the numbers indicate.

From launch in 2026, Tomy is opening accounts across US, UK, EU and ROW. At launch in 2026 we start from zero. A year later, retailers in those doors will already know the product, have sell-through data, and be planning their next order. That is a meaningfully higher base from which to build 2027. Year 1 in the model below represents the launch year 2026. Years 2, 3 and 4 compound from there as new accounts open on top.

Set each market's Year 1 door count, the sell-through velocity, and the annual growth rate. Everything else follows from the arithmetic.

Global wholesale model, Momiji via Tomy, 2027-2030

$9.50 wholesale  ·  $19.00 retail  ·  Year 1 = 2026 launch year

5008,000
5002,000
5005,000
100500
0.510  Jellycat upper
10%100%
Total yr 1 doors
4,000
across all markets
Yr 1 wholesale
$13.9m
@ $9.50 / unit
Yr 4 wholesale
$32.4m
at 30% growth
vs Jellycat range
16%
yr 1 vs Jellycat mature
US UK EU ROW Total wholesale
Jellycat benchmark: £333m revenue (Companies House 2024), 8,000 stores (CNBC Oct 2025), ~$26.8m DTC (Grips Intelligence). Wholesale ~90% of total. Per-door velocity shown as a range. Door counts for UK, EU and ROW are planning estimates. US figure (8,000 ceiling) discussed in 2025 planning.
Data pointValueSource / status
Jellycat 2024 revenue£333mCompanies House · CNBC Oct 2025
Jellycat retail doors8,000 / 80 countriesCNBC Oct 2025
Jellycat DTC online~$26.8m (~8-10% of total)Grips Intelligence
Jellycat wholesale portion~£300m (derived)Not independently filed
Jellycat per-door velocity7-10 units / door / dayDerived, shown as range
US doors (ceiling)8,000Discussed in 2025 planning
UK / EU / ROW doorsSlider defaultsPlanning estimates
Momiji US retail price$19.00Tomy · Toy Fair NY Feb 2026
Momiji wholesale price$9.50Tomy confirmed
Our ask

We are very open to working through the detail of both of these together.

Consumer first, and the rest follows.

01

Confirm four ranges for 2027, with the tooling approach to be worked through together as we plan each one.

02

Review the data together at end of July, this will begin to inform the 2028 decisions, and feels like the right approach at this stage.